Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Pau FC
19.6%
Draw
28.0%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Pau FC
vs
1.49
Nimes
Markets
BTTS67.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
2-3
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).