Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Sunderland
31.8%
Draw
20.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Sunderland
vs
0.73
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).