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AHT: 02CSV

23 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Elgin
28.4%
Draw
38.4%
Albion Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Elgin

vs
1.54

Albion Rvs

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).