Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Cheltenham
24.4%
Draw
46.9%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Cheltenham
vs
1.53
Walsall
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).