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AHT: 12CSV

04 Nov 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Istanbulspor
33.5%
Draw
43.4%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Istanbulspor

vs
1.39

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).