Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Hammarby
19.5%
Draw
10.1%
Degerfors
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Hammarby
vs
0.76
Degerfors
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).