Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Metz
18.6%
Draw
14.0%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Metz
vs
0.76
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).