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01 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Oldham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Altrincham
31.1%
Draw
40.5%
Oldham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Altrincham

vs
1.22

Oldham

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).