Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Valenciennes
28.9%
Draw
47.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Valenciennes
vs
1.15
Lens
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.7%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).