Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Empoli
25.7%
Draw
46.9%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Empoli
vs
1.47
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).