Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
St Etienne
20.3%
Draw
21.1%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
St Etienne
vs
1.18
Dijon
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).