Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Leicester
29.7%
Draw
29.2%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Leicester
vs
1.07
Charlton
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).