Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Verona
28.2%
Draw
43.9%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Verona
vs
1.26
Spal
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).