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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Mansfield
22.5%
Draw
40.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Mansfield

vs
1.64

Stockport

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).