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DHT: 00CSV

18 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.9%
Venezia
12.7%
Draw
6.4%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

3.05

Venezia

vs
0.83

Pescara

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
4.6%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).