Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
St. Gilloise
24.2%
Draw
12.5%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
St. Gilloise
vs
0.63
Genk
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).