Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Lens
21.5%
Draw
20.1%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Lens
vs
0.96
Lyon
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).