Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Lens
28.8%
Draw
39.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Lens
vs
1.05
Troyes
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).