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DHT: 00CSV

11 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.2%
Apollon
15.2%
Draw
78.6%
Levadeiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Apollon

vs
2.54

Levadeiakos

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.8%
0-3
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-5
3.8%
2-2
2.6%
1-5
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).