Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Logrones
26.9%
Draw
26.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Logrones
vs
0.98
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).