Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
RB Leipzig
23.1%
Draw
33.3%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
RB Leipzig
vs
1.67
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).