Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Morecambe
22.8%
Draw
59.4%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Morecambe
vs
1.71
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).