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01 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.3%
Hull
20.1%
Draw
11.6%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Hull

vs
0.80

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).