Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Empoli
28.8%
Draw
27.3%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Empoli
vs
1.09
Padova
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).