Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Southend
30.5%
Draw
24.3%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Southend
vs
0.89
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).