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AHT: 02CSV

19 Dec 2023 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Granada
24.3%
Draw
45.8%
Sevilla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Granada

vs
1.72

Sevilla

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).