Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Leverkusen
13.8%
Draw
9.9%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Leverkusen
vs
1.11
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
3-2
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
5-1
3.9%
5-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).