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AHT: 00CSV

09 Mar 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Nantes
23.6%
Draw
53.9%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Nantes

vs
1.61

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).