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AHT: 01CSV

20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Bristol Rvs
26.1%
Draw
37.9%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.17

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).