Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.2%
Worthing
11.5%
Draw
7.3%
Jersey Bulls
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Worthing
vs
0.84
Jersey Bulls
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).