Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Birmingham
13.4%
Draw
5.8%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Birmingham
vs
0.43
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.1%
1-0
15.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-1
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
5-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).