Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Lorient
24.4%
Draw
33.0%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Lorient
vs
1.30
Lille
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).