Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.6%
Charlton
27.6%
Draw
65.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28
Charlton
vs
1.41
Burnley
Markets
BTTS19.0%
Over 0.581.0%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
25.5%
0-0
19.0%
0-2
18.3%
0-3
8.6%
1-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
3.0%
1-3
2.4%
2-1
1.0%
0-5
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).