Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Zagreb
28.0%
Draw
25.6%
Hajduk Split
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Zagreb
vs
1.12
Hajduk Split
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).