Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
AGF
24.9%
Draw
34.0%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
AGF
vs
1.53
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).