Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Leicester
23.8%
Draw
41.6%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Leicester
vs
1.81
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).