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AHT: 01CSV

17 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Annecy
24.3%
Draw
48.6%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Annecy

vs
1.47

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).