Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Sabadell
22.3%
Draw
16.4%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Sabadell
vs
0.81
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).