Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Bradford
18.6%
Draw
13.0%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Bradford
vs
0.77
Newport County
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).