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AHT: 01

17 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Poltava
26.8%
Draw
49.9%
Obolon'

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Poltava

vs
1.50

Obolon'

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).