Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Aldershot
26.1%
Draw
40.0%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Aldershot
vs
1.57
Oldham
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).