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30 Aug 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
Reims
26.8%
Draw
26.6%
Le Mans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Reims

vs
0.87

Le Mans

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).