Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.3%
Inter
13.6%
Draw
80.1%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Inter
vs
3.06
Thun
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
7.3%
1-4
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
0-1
5.2%
0-5
4.5%
1-5
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).