Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Holker Old Boys
26.9%
Draw
31.2%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Holker Old Boys
vs
1.47
Lugano
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).