Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Lech Poznań
25.1%
Draw
16.7%
Wisła Płock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Lech Poznań
vs
0.84
Wisła Płock
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).