Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Göztepe
37.1%
Draw
20.5%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Göztepe
vs
0.75
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-1
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).