Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Ingolstadt
25.9%
Draw
42.7%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Ingolstadt
vs
1.66
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).