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AHT: 02CSV

09 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.3%
Maidenhead
26.8%
Draw
45.9%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Maidenhead

vs
1.59

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).