Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Dumbarton
23.7%
Draw
61.4%
Spartans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Dumbarton
vs
2.09
Spartans
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).