Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Fylde
27.2%
Draw
36.1%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Fylde
vs
1.40
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.9%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).